I-gartner, ithenda yoPhando lweTekhnoloji yoLwazi kunye neNkampani yoHlaziyo, ichaze ukuba ngonyaka we-2024, olwenziwe ngokwenzayo kuya kuqhubeka nokusebenza nzima ukujongana nesoftware kunye nokufakelwa kombane, ngaloo ndlela ugqitywe kwinqanaba elitsha lezithuthi zombane.
I-oyile kunye nombane ziphumelelise intengo yexabiso ngokukhawuleza kunokuba bekulindelwe
Iindleko zebhetri ziyawa, kodwa iindleko zemveliso yombane ziya kuwa ngokukhawuleza enkosi kwitekhnoloji yokufumana itekhnoloji efana nokugcuma. Ngenxa yoko, i-garner ilindele ukuba ngezithuthi zombane ezingama-2027 ziya kubiza kakhulu ekwenzeni ngaphezu kwezithuthi zangaphakathi zokudibana ngenxa yetekhnoloji entsha yemveliso kunye neendleko zebhetri.
Ngokuphathelene noku, uPedro Pacheco, oPhando uMongameli kwiGartner, uthe: Bazisa itekhnoloji yentshabalalisi eyenza lula iindleko, ezinjengokuyila kwemoto ephakathi okanye ukuphoswa kwendlela edityanisiweyo, enceda ukunciphisa iindleko zokwenza imveliso. Ixabiso kunye nexesha lendibano, i-Automakes yendabuko ayinakukhetha kodwa ukwamkela ezi zicelo ukuze ziphile. "
UPacheco uxelele indlela entsha ngokupheleleyo, "uPacheco waxelela indlela entsha ngokupheleleyo.
Enye ye-Tessala yobalaseleyo " I-Pacheco kunye nezinye iiNgoma zikholelwa ukuba i-Tessa inkokeli eyintshayelelo kwiindleko zokuhamba kunye novulindlela ekuphoseni ukufana.
Ukwamkelwa kwezithuthi zombane kunciphile kwezinye iimarike eziphambili, kubandakanya namazwe amazwe e-United States naseYurophu, iingcali zithi kubalulekile ukuba zikwazise iimodeli zexabiso eliphantsi.
I-Pacheco ichaze ukuba itekhnoloji yokuphohlaka kwayo idityanisiwe yedwa inokunciphisa iindleko zomzimba ezimhlophe ngo "20%, kunye nokunye ukuncitshiswa kweendleko kunokufezekiswa ngokusebenzisa iipakethi zebhetri njengezixhobo zebhetri.
Iindleko zebhetri ziye zawa iminyaka, wathi, kodwa iindleko zendibano yayiyinto "engalindelekanga" eyayiza kuzisa izithuthi zombane. "Sifikelela kule Ngqoboti yokuPubisa ngaphambili kunokuba bekulindelwe," wongeze.
Ngokukodwa, iqonga le-ED elinikezelweyo liya kunika i-Autokeys inkululeko yokuyila imigca yeNdibano ukuze ihambelane neempawu zazo, kubandakanya imigangatho yebhetri encinci kunye nebhetri.
Ngokwahlukileyo, amaqonga afanelekile kwi "Pullri-Poogertrains" anemida, njengoko efuna indawo yokuhlala itanki okanye injini / ethunzini.
Ngelixa oku kuthetha ukuba izithuthi zombane zebhetri ziya kufezekisa intlawulo yeendleko ezinemizipha yangaphakathi ye-injini ngokukhawuleza kunokuba kulindeleke ekuqaleni, kuya kuthi kwandise kakhulu iindleko zombane webhetri.
I-gartner iqikelela ukuba ngo-2027, indleko ephakathi yokulungisa iingozi ezinzulu ezibandakanya imizimba yemoto kunye neebhetri ziya kunyuka ngama-30%. Ke ngoko, abanini banokuntywila ngakumbi ekukhetheni imoto yombane oqhekekileyo njengoko iindleko zokulungisa zinokuphakama kunexabiso le-slivage. Ngokukwanjalo, kuba ukulungiswa kwengquzulwano kubiza kakhulu, i-inshurensi yeinshurensi ye-inshurensi isenokuphezulu, nokuba ibangele iinkampani zeinshurensi ukuba zikhanyele iimodeli ezithile.
Ngokukhawuleza ukunciphisa iindleko zokuvelisa ii-BEvs akufuneki kweza ngenkcitho yeendleko eziphakamileyo zolondolozo, njengoko oku kunokubangela ukubuyela komthengi kwixesha elide. Iindlela ezintsha zokuvelisa izithuthi zombane ngokupheleleyo kufuneka zithunyelwe ecaleni kweenkqubo eziqinisekisa iindleko zolondolozo olusezantsi.
Imakethi yeemoto zombane ingena "ixhoba leli nqanaba lililo"
I-Pacheco yathi ingaba ukonga iindleko kwizithuthi zombane kuguqulela amaxabiso asezantsi kuxhomekeke kumenzi weenqwelo-mafutha, kodwa watsho ukuba iinkampani zemoto zombane kunye neendleko zangaphakathi aziyi kubangela ukonakala kakhulu kwiinzuzo zabo.
Ukongeza, i-garner isaxela kwangaphambili ukukhula okuqinileyo kwintengiso yombane yemoto, kunye nesiqingatha seemoto ezithengiswa ngo-2030 kwizithuthi ezicocekileyo zombane. Kodwa xa kuthelekiswa ne "golide" ingwenzeni "yabavelisi beemoto zakudala, imarike ingena kwi"
IPacheco ichaze i-2024 njengonyaka wenguqu yentengiso yombane waseYurophu, inee-China zase-China njengeenethiwekhi zentengiso yentengiso kunye ne-intanethi ekuthinjweni, ngelixa i-rebane yemveli iya kuqalisa iModeli yexabiso eliphantsi.
"Izinto ezininzi ezenzekayo ngoku azinakuchaphazela ukuthengisa, kodwa zilungiselela izinto ezinkulu," utshilo.
Ngeli xesha, i-propelos ezininzi eziphezulu zombane ziye zazabalaza kunyaka ophelileyo, kubandakanya i-polerler, ebonile ixabiso lesabelo sesabelo sehla kabukhali ukusukela kuluhlu lwayo, olusike uqikelelo lwayo lwe-2024 ngama-90%. Ezinye iinkampani ezinengxaki ziquka imerker, ekwintetho neNissan, naseGaohe, eza kutshanje zivezwe kukuvalwa kwemveliso.
UPacheco wathi, "Buyela emva koko, uninzi lwabantu oluqalisayo oluqokelelwa kwinkampani yemoto yombane kwi-Autofeeds kwiNkxaso-mali yeZithuthi-kunye nezinye zenza ukuba zibe sengozini yentengiso. Impembelelo yemiceli mingeni. "
I-gartner iqikelela ukuba ngo-2027, iipesenti ezili-15 zeenkampani zemoto yombane ezidlulileyo ziya kufumaneka okanye zibhale, ingakumbi abo bathembele kakhulu kutyalo-mali lwangaphandle ukuze baqhubeke nokusebenza. Nangona kunjalo, "oku akuthethi ukuba ishishini lezithuthi zombane liyancipha, lingena kwinqanaba elitsha apho iinkampani ezinezona mveliso kunye neenkonzo ziya kuphumelela ezinye iinkampani." I-Pacheco yatsho.
Ukongeza, watsho ukuba "amazwe amaninzi aphelelwa ziinkuthazo ezinxulumene nezithuthi zombane, esenza ukuba imakethi icele umngeni ngakumbi kubadlali abakhoyo." Nangona kunjalo, "singena kwinqanaba elitsha apho izithuthi zombane ezicocekileyo azinakuthengiswa kwinkuthazo / kwimvumelwano okanye izibonelelo zokusingqongileyo. I-Bevs kufuneka ibe yimveliso ejikelezileyo xa ithelekiswa nezithuthi zangaphakathi zokudibana. "
Ngelixa intengiso ivakalayo, ukuthunyelwa kunye nokungena kwengubo kuya kuqhubeka nokukhula. I-gartner ixele kwangaphambili ukuba ukuthunyelwa kwezithuthi zombane kuya kufikelela kwi-18.4 yezigidi kwiiyunithi ezingama-2024 ne-20,6 yezigidi kwi-2025.
Ixesha lokuphumla: Mar-20-2024